Accuracy of PET-CT in predicting survival in patients with esophageal cancer

Background: Positron emission tomography (PET) is an integral part of tumor staging for patients with esophageal cancer. Recent studies suggest a role for PET scan in predicting survival in these patients, but this relationship is unclear in the setting of neoadjuvant therapy. We examined pretreatment maximum standard uptake value (SUV _max) of the primary tumor in patients treated with and without neoadjuvant therapy. Methods: All patients undergoing esophagectomy with a preoperative PET scan over a nine-year period (2001-2010) were identified from a prospectively maintained database. Positron emission tomography data were obtained from computers housing the original PET scans. Overall survival was correlated with SUV _max of the primary tumor. Results: A total of 191 patients were identified, and 103 patients met inclusion criteria. Eighty-two had an adenocarcinoma (80%), and 21 (20%) had a squamous cell carcinoma. Fifty-seven (55%) patients received neoadjuvant therapy. In the surgery alone group, a SUV _max of>5.0 in the primary tumor was associated with poor prognosis [Hazard Ratio (HR) 0.32; p = 0.007], but this factor did not retain its significance on multivariate analysis (HR 0.65; p = 0.43). Pretreatment SUV _max in patients who underwent neoadjuvant therapy was not significant in predicting overall survival (p = 0.10). Conclusions: This study does not support the use of SUV _max on pretreatment PET scans as a prognostic tool for patients with esophageal cancer, especially in those who have received neoadjuvant therapy. Lymph node status is a more accurate predictor of outcome, and efforts to improve pretreatment staging should focus on this factor.