Mechanistic modelling identifies and addresses the risks of empiric concentration-guided sorafenib dosing

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Abstract

The primary objective of this study is to evaluate the capacity of concentration-guided sorafenib dosing protocols to increase the proportion of patients that achieve a sorafenib maximal concentration (Cmax) within the range 4.78 to 5.78 µg/mL. A full physiologically based pharmacoki-netic model was built and validated using Simcyp® (version 19.1). The model was used to simulate sorafenib exposure in 1000 Sim-Cancer subjects over 14 days. The capacity of concentration-guided sorafenib dose adjustment, with/without model-informed dose selection (MIDS), to achieve a so-rafenib Cmax within the range 4.78 to 5.78 µg/mL was evaluated in 500 Sim-Cancer subjects. A multivariable linear regression model incorporating hepatic cytochrome P450 (CYP) 3A4 abundance, albumin concentration, body mass index, body surface area, sex and weight provided robust prediction of steady-state sorafenib Cmax (R2 = 0.883; p < 0.001). These covariates identified subjects at risk of failing to achieve a sorafenib Cmax ≥ 4.78 µg/mL with 95.0% specificity and 95.2% sensitivity. Concentration-guided sorafenib dosing with MIDS achieved a sorafenib Cmax within the range 4.78 to 5.78 µg/mL for 38 of 52 patients who failed to achieve a Cmax ≥ 4.78 µg/mL with standard dosing. In a simulation setting, concentration-guided dosing with MIDS was the quickest and most effective approach to achieve a sorafenib Cmax within a designated range.

Original languageEnglish
Article number389
Number of pages12
JournalPharmaceuticals
Volume14
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2021

Bibliographical note

© 2021 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.

Keywords

  • Concentration-guided dosing
  • Model informed dosing
  • Physiologically based pharma-cokinetics
  • Sorafenib

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