Predicting Publication Success for Biologists

William Laurance, D Useche, Susan Laurance, Corey Bradshaw

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    70 Citations (Scopus)


    Can one foresee whether young scientists will publish successfully during their careers? For academic biologists on four continents, we evaluated the effects of gender, native language, prestige of the institution at which they received their PhD, the date of their first publication (relative to the year of PhD completion), and their pre-PhD publication record as potential indicators of long-term publication success (10 years post-PhD). Pre-PhD publication success was the strongest correlate of long-term success. Gender, language, and the date of first publication had ancillary roles, with native English speakers, males, and those who published earlier in their career having minor advantages. Once these aspects were accounted for, university prestige had almost no discernable effect. We suggest that early publication success is vital for aspiring young scientists and that one of the easiest ways to identify rising stars is simply to find those who have published early and often.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)817-823
    Number of pages7
    Issue number10
    Publication statusPublished - 2013


    • Academic performance
    • Gender
    • Language
    • Publication success
    • University ranking


    Dive into the research topics of 'Predicting Publication Success for Biologists'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

    Cite this