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Predictors of relapse risk and treatment response in AQP4-IgG positive and seronegative NMOSD: A multicentre study

  • Pakeeran Siriratnam
  • , Paul Sanfilippo
  • , Anneke van der Walt
  • , Sifat Sharmin
  • , Yi Chao Foong
  • , Wei Zhen Yeh
  • , Chao Zhu
  • , Samia Joseph Khoury
  • , Tunde Csepany
  • , Barbara Willekens
  • , Masoud Etemadifar
  • , Serkan Ozakbas
  • , Petra Nytrova
  • , Ayse Altintas
  • , Abdullah Al-Asmi
  • , Bassem Yamout
  • , Guy Laureys
  • , Francesco Patti
  • , Magdolna Simo
  • , Andrea Surcinelli
  • Matteo Foschi, Pamela A. McCombe, Raed Alroughani, José Luis Sánchez-Menoyo, Recai Turkoglu, Aysun Soysal, Jeanette Lechner Scott, Tomas Kalincik, Helmut Butzkueven, Vilija Jokubaitis, Saif Huda, Mastura Monif, MSBase Study Group, Mark Slee

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

12 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Background Neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD) can be categorised into aquaporin-4 antibody (AQP4-IgG) NMOSD or seronegative NMOSD. While our knowledge of AQP4-IgG NMOSD has evolved significantly in the past decade, seronegative NMOSD remains less understood. This study aimed to evaluate the predictors of relapses and treatment responses in AQP4-IgG NMOSD and seronegative NMOSD.

Methods This was a multicentre, international, retrospective cohort study using the MSBase registry. Recurrent relapse risk was assessed using an AndersenGill model and risk of first relapse was evaluated using a Cox proportional hazards model. Covariates that putatively influence relapse risk included demographic factors, clinical characteristics and immunosuppressive therapies; the latter was assessed as a time-varying covariate.

Results A total of 398 patients (246 AQP4-IgG NMOSD and 152seronegative NMOSD) were included. The AQP4-IgG NMOSD and seronegative NMOSD patients did not significantly differ by age at disease onset, ethnicity or annualised relapse rate. Both low-efficacy and highefficacy immunosuppressive therapies were associated with significant reductions in recurrent relapse risk, with notably greater protection conferred by high-efficacy therapies in both AQP4-IgG NMOSD (HR 0.27, 95% CI 0.15 to 0.49, p<0.001) and seronegative NMOSD (HR 0.21, 95% CI 0.08 to 0.51, p<0.001). Longer disease duration (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.95 to 0.99, p<0.001) and male sex (HR 0.52, 95% CI 0.34 to 0.84, p=0.007) were additional protective variables in reducing the recurrent relapse risk for the AQP4-IgG NMOSD group.

Conclusion Although further studies are needed to improve our understanding of seronegative NMOSD, our findings underscore the importance of aggressive treatment with high-efficacy immunotherapies in both NMOSD subtypes, regardless of serostatus.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)361-369
Number of pages9
JournalJournal of Neurology, Neurosurgery and Psychiatry
Volume96
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2025

Keywords

  • Neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder
  • NMOSD
  • autoimmune
  • central nervous system
  • CNS
  • heterogeneous disease

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