Research output per year
Research output per year
Harpinder Sandhu, Beverley Clarke, Ryan Baring, Sharolyn Anderson, Claire Fisk, Sabine Dittmann, George Walker, Paul Sutton, ida Kubiszewski, Robert Costanza
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Coastal regions provide vital ecosystem services for the human well-being. Rapid economic growth and increasing population in coastal regions is exerting more pressure on coastal environments. Here we develop four plausible scenarios to the year 2050 that address above issues in the northern Adelaide coastline, South Australia. Four scenarios were named after their characteristics, Lacuna, Gold Coast SA, Down to Earth, and Green & Gold. Lacuna and Gold Coast SA. Economy declined significantly in Lacuna, whereas, there is highest annual GDP growth (3.5%) in Gold Coast SA, which was closely followed by Green & Gold scenario (3%), GDP under Down to Earth grows at moderate 1.5%. There is highest population growth in Gold Coast SA followed by Green & Gold, Down to Earth and Lacuna. Gold Coast SA scenario led to high inequality as estimated by the Gini co-efficient of 0.45 compared to the current value of 0.33. Ecosystem services declined rapidly under Green & Gold and Lacuna as compared to the other two scenarios. The combination of scenario planning and ecosystem services valuation provides the capacity to guide coastal planning by illustrating enhanced social, environmental and economic benefits.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 194-207 |
Number of pages | 14 |
Journal | Ecosystem Services |
Volume | 31 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Jun 2018 |
Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter › peer-review