Spatial and temporal diffusion of political violence in North and West Africa

David B. Skillicorn, Olivier J. Walther, Quan Zheng, Christian Leuprecht

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapterpeer-review


The study of how crime and political violence diffuse across time and space has greatly benefited from the increasing availability of geo-referenced data and the use of spatial statistical analysis (O’Loughlin and Raleigh 2008;Zammit-Mangionet al. 2013; Metternich et al. 2017). In urban policing, for example, the design and use of hot-spot analysis based on historical data allows us to predict when and where various kinds of crime are most likely to occur, and to preposition policing assets accordingly (Braga 2005). In this limited sense, predictive modeling of crimes has been remarkably effective. The urban environment lends itself to this kind of analysis: criminals are creatures of habit, they tend to travel limited distances, and some areas are naturallymore target-richthan others.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationAfrican Border Disorders
Subtitle of host publicationAddressing Transnational Extremist Organizations
EditorsOlivier J. Walther, William F.S. Miles
Place of PublicationOxon, UK
PublisherRoutledge, Taylor and Francis
Number of pages26
ISBN (Electronic)9781315166483, 9781351680127
ISBN (Print)9781138054684
Publication statusPublished - 2017
Externally publishedYes


  • political violence
  • extremist organizations
  • tribal homogeneity


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