The impact of frailty on short-term prognosis in discharged adult stroke patients: A multicenter prospective cohort study

Background: Frailty is commonly observed in stroke patients and it is associated with adverse outcomes. However, there remains a gap in longitudinal studies investigating the causal relationship between baseline frailty and short-term prognosis in discharged adult stroke patients. 

Objective: To examine the causal impact of frailty on non-elective readmission and major adverse cardiac and cerebral events, and investigate its associations with cognitive impairment and post-stroke disability. 

Design: A multicenter prospective cohort study. 

Setting: Two tertiary hospitals in Central and Northwest China. 

Participants: 667 adult stroke patients in stroke units were included from January 2022 to June 2022. 

Methods: Baseline frailty was assessed by the Frailty Scale. Custom-designed questions were utilized to assess non-elective readmission and major adverse cardiac and cerebral events as primary outcomes. Cognitive impairment, assessed using the Mini-Mental State Examination Scale (MMSE), and post-stroke disability, measured with the Modified Rankin Scale (mRS), were considered secondary outcomes at a 3-month follow-up. The impact of baseline frailty on non-elective readmission and major adverse cardiac and cerebral events was examined using bivariate and multiple Cox regression analyses. Furthermore, associations between baseline frailty and cognitive impairment, or post-stroke disability, were investigated through generalized linear models. 

Results: A total of 5 participants died, 12 had major adverse cardiac and cerebral events, and 57 had non-selective readmission among 667 adult stroke patients. Frailty was an independent risk factor for non-selective readmission (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.71, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.59, 4.62) and major adverse cardiac and cerebral events (HR: 3.77, 95 % CI: 1.07, 13.22) for stroke patients. Baseline frailty was correlated with cognitive impairment (regression coefficient [β]: − 2.68, 95 % CI: − 3.78, − 1.58) adjusting for socio-demographic and clinical factors and follow-up interval. However, the relationship between frailty and cognitive impairment did not reach statistical significance when further adjusting for baseline MMSE (β: − 0.39, 95 % CI: − 1.43, 0.64). Moreover, baseline frailty was associated with post-stroke disability (β: 0.36, 95 % CI: 0.08, 0.65) adjusting for socio-demographic and clinical variables, follow-up interval, and baseline mRS. 

Conclusions: The finding highlights the importance of assessing baseline frailty in discharged adult stroke patients, as it is significantly associated with non-elective readmission, major adverse cardiac and cerebral events, and post-stroke disability at 3 months. These results highlight the crucial role of screening and evaluating frailty status in improving short-term prognosis for adult stroke patients. Interventions should be developed to address baseline frailty and mitigate the short-term prognosis of stroke. 

Tweetable abstract: Baseline frailty predicts non-elective readmission, major adverse cardiac and cerebral events, and post-stroke disability in adult stroke patients.