The next winner of the 2018 FIFA World Cup will be...: An illustration of the use of statistical simulation to make a prediction in a complex tournament

Juan Carlos M. Correa; Carlos Barrera-Causil; Fernando Marmolejo Ramos

The next winner of the 2018 FIFA World Cup will be... An illustration of the use of statistical simulation to make a prediction in a complex tournament

Juan Carlos M. Correa, Carlos Barrera-Causil, Fernando Marmolejo Ramos

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

Statistical simulations are used in both teaching and research contexts and are a powerful tool for solving complex problems for which there are no exact solutions or which require too many resources. Furthermore, statistical simulations are a powerful computational tool to predict events. In this study, statistical simulations are used to analyse the progressive results of the 2018 FIFA World Cup, what teams are the most likely to play in the finals, and to predict the team which has the highest probability of being the champion. The ideas outlined in the discussion are likely to encourage readers to modify the R code provided in order to meet their own data and interests.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	59-65
Number of pages	7
Journal	Chilean Journal of Statistics
Volume	9
Issue number	1
Publication status	Published - Apr 2018
Externally published	Yes

Keywords

2018 FIFA World Cup
Statistical prediction
Statistical simulation
Teaching of statistics

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https://soche.cl/chjs/issues.html#vol9-number1-2018Licence: In Copyright

Cite this

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AB - Statistical simulations are used in both teaching and research contexts and are a powerful tool for solving complex problems for which there are no exact solutions or which require too many resources. Furthermore, statistical simulations are a powerful computational tool to predict events. In this study, statistical simulations are used to analyse the progressive results of the 2018 FIFA World Cup, what teams are the most likely to play in the finals, and to predict the team which has the highest probability of being the champion. The ideas outlined in the discussion are likely to encourage readers to modify the R code provided in order to meet their own data and interests.

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The next winner of the 2018 FIFA World Cup will be... An illustration of the use of statistical simulation to make a prediction in a complex tournament

Abstract

Keywords

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