The role of numerical models in environmental decision-making

Francesca Lotti, John Doherty

Research output: Contribution to journalConference articlepeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)


Modelling is undertaken for a variety of reasons. The pre-sent short discussion focuses on everyday model usage as undertaken by government and consulting companies to assist in environmental management. In this context, a model’s purpose is to predict the behaviour of a system under a management regime which is not yet in place or has just started. The term management regime may refer to excavation of a mine, extraction of water, contaminant remediation, allocation of water for irrigation, etc. A common aspect of all these prac-tices is evaluation of the risk of bad things happening. The decision-making process should include exploration of the costs and benefits associated with alternative management practices, and quantification of risks accompanying different management decisions...
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)73-75
Number of pages3
JournalAcque Sotterranee - Italian Journal of Groundwater
Issue number3
Publication statusPublished - 10 Mar 2016
Externally publishedYes
Event42nd IAH Congress - Hydrogeology: Back to the Future, AQUA 2015 Part 3 - Rome, Italy
Duration: 13 Sept 201518 Sept 2015


  • Calibration
  • Decision-making
  • Environmental modelling
  • Uncertainty analysis


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