The Saturday Federal Election: Beware Margin of Error

Andrew Parkin

    Research output: Other contribution

    Abstract

    In some elections, there appears to have been a real swing one way or the other in the last few days. And party strategists -- probably needlessly -- worry about concepts like the "bandwagon effect" (do some of us just want to vote for the party deemed by the polls to be the likely winner?) and the "underdog effect" (the opposite impulse).

    In other words, if all that mattered was the spread of party support nationally, then the rest of us could stay home and let about 5000 Australians do the job for us. But the national party spread, in the end, has little significance.

    Plus -- most importantly of all -- we have the majesty and legitimacy arising from 12.6 million adult Australians participating in a serious democratic exercise.
    Original languageEnglish
    PublisherSunday Mail
    Number of pages1
    Place of PublicationAdelaide
    Publication statusPublished - Nov 2001

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